This match pits Agia Napa currently playing in the second division against Apoel Nicosia who is currently second in the 1st Division of the Cyprus League. Statistically, Apoel Nicosia should post a comfortable win against Agia Napa. Apoel is head and shoulders above Agia Napa in terms of quality. The current AH is offered to Apoel -2 and the return is only 0.62 for every dollar punt. Shows that punters are staking lots of money on Apoel to clear their AH. Its hard to perform any comparision for this match as both teams are playing in different divisions. The problem would be to determine what would be Apoel line-up tonite. Will Apoel be playing with their first eleven or offering reserve players to start tonite. I guess the 2nd option would most likely be the scenario for tonite.
Odds calculation hints that I should take Agia Napa +2 tonite, but for such a large handicap given, the calculation might not be that accurate. Besides, I have witness numerous cases where team with payout of 0.62 would most likely clear the AH offered. In this case, Apoel would most likely clear the handicap offered (based on trend and observation).
A small bet tonite then on Agia +2 FT and Apoel -1 FH. That would be a wise decision. If Apoel were to peak, they would be able to create goals in first half. If the scenario goes the other way in which Apoel is unable to score in the first half, then Agia +2 FT would be safe bet as it is unlikely that Apoel would be hitting 3 goals in 2nd half.
Verdict : Agia +2 FT and Apoel -1 FH (both 1 STAR BETS)
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