COLO-COLO vs UNIVERSIDAD - 14 DEC 2007

I posted the review for this match right before I sleep in Asianbookie Forum and was too tired to update. Anyway, just to post it here for record purposes. Of course the link to the thread would be included here to proof that I aint bullshitting about my picks. Link



Not much information could be obtained regarding both Chilliean team, therefore this analysis was entirely based on head to head, home and way records and some instinct based on the odds offered by Oddsmakers.



I selected Colo-colo to clear the -0.25 Asian Handicap offered, and set up a safety net by buying Draw in the 1x2 offering a payout of 1 to 3. The final result was as expected with Colo-colo obtaining a 2 goal lead heading for the return leg at Universidad.



The review :



Not much info that I can gather with regards to both team except for their past results and head to head. Not much that can be predicted from this match except to speculate from the odds offered. A thing that bothers me is that Colo-colo, sitting at top of the Chiliean Premier league against Universidad 13th in position, yet the handicap being offered here is Colo-colo -0.25. Universidad has been on a good run, recording 5 victories in a row:



Dec 09, 07 Primera Division Univ de Chile 2 - 1 Cobresal Salvador

Dec 01, 07 Primera Division Cobresal Salvador 2 - 4 Univ de Chile

Nov 24, 07 Primera Division Univ de Chile 3 - 0 Cobresal Salvador

Nov 11, 07 Primera Division CD Everton 1 - 3 Univ de Chile

Nov 07, 07 Primera Division Univ de Chile 2 - 2 O Higgins Rancagua

Nov 03, 07 Primera Division Univ de Chile 3 - 2 Union Espanola

Oct 28, 07 Primera Division Univ de Chile 2 - 1 Lota Schwager



As for Colo-colo their last game agains O'higgin ended up in a draw. But the match was meaningless since Colo-colo has a 5 goal advantage from their first leg game again O'higgin.



Dec 08, 07 Primera Division CD Colo Colo 1 - 1 O Higgins Rancagua

Dec 02, 07 Primera Division O Higgins Rancagua 0 - 5 CD Colo Colo

Nov 25, 07 Primera Division Palestino Santiago 0 - 1 CD Colo Colo

Nov 11, 07 Primera Division CD Colo Colo 4 - 0 CD Huachipato

Nov 04, 07 Primera Division Univ Catolica 0 - 1 CD Colo Colo

Nov 01, 07 Primera Division CD Colo Colo 1 - 4 Audax Italiano

Oct 27, 07 Primera Division Santiago Wanderers 0 - 4 CD Colo Colo



Oddsmakers would have done their research on the past stats from both team and would have offered the -0.25 handicap to lure punters to eat Universidad base on their excellent record for the last 7 games (6 win and 1 draw). I shall try the opposite, staking my money on Colo-colo -0.25 Ft. I believe they will win the first leg at home. Colo-colo would go for the win at their homeground hence giving them an advantage before facing Universidad again for the 2nd leg. Universidad afterall have been undefeated at home for the last 5 home games.



Verdict : Colo-colo -0.25FT & Colo-colo Draw (for safety)

Both bets 1 STAR BETs.